Σͻƿ 
йʽ     2009-04-30 14:16:58 
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ΣһֻԪȫܿԪͶìܼΣĿǰеĻһԳΪΣһͻƿڡ  
 
ߣ

ҴԪճ 

гСսԪŵ˹ٸȹıԪһҶйۻҵߣоܲʻδ༫ҸУؽһ 

ΣһֻԪȫܿԪͶìܼΣĿǰеĻһԳΪΣһͻƿڡһʵ߸ԼĻʽֵĻңȻԼں󻹻ظԭȳеĻҡйĻһЭ3--3󺫹һййҲһ 

ȫ"һ" 

46Ӣŷˡձʿȹܶӽ3000ԪĻһЭ顣һЭķˮԼгʽгݹ""  

йһҲΪƵһ329գйкͰ͢ǩ700ԪֵҵĻһЭ飬йʷģĽڽסȥ12 йй۵ǡӡǡ׶˹͢6Һ͵мҵǩ˻һЭ飬ܶﵽ 6500ԪңԼй㴢ܶ5%() 

йгƣĿǰоǩ˫߻һЭд. 

ʿʾ,ȶһӦǴٳɻЭҪԭ,ҵΪѾõ"ҹʻ"·ͬʱ,ҲǩԼٵԪʲ,̼˫ó. 

ȥ7·ΪֹҶԪ2005ֵ̬,ȶ6.80-6.90. 

йԻһڼΣӰֱԲ. 

гС"ڸĸʻϵ˼"Ϊ׫,ȡԪʴҵĸĸ﷽,ȻԪ¯Ĵ. 
  

ͬʱŸ,ڵǰȫóгӾ硢óή,Эеĳֻʽóʵݴ,ƶ˫ó׼ֱͶ,ٽ. 

"ͨõĶԷע뱾ϵ,ʹñҵԽ赽Է,֧ӶԷĽƷ,,˫óгҵյҼֵĻ,Чܻʷաͻҷ."г. 

й"ı"Ѿ 

һԴ2060ǹҼһĿߣ1962꣬ͬǩ˻һЭ飬ʱһṩԵһʽ󣬻һģӦõҵ1981кIBM˾֮Ļһ 

йǰĻһȻΪ֮ 

ھĩ޽Σ֮󣬰йڵ޹Һ͵ʶǿںάֽгȶΣЧ;2000꣬10պ3ͨˡ顱Իһ硣 

Э顱ص㲻㴢𣬶Ƿ˫߻һЭ档Э顱ͼûһķʽ޸㴢֮һ֡໥֧Ԯʽϵ 

йиг׸ȥ11ʾ,йͨһ͹ʻһ֯(IMF)ȷʽʽھԮ.+պȥ11Ѿͬ⽫Э800ԪĻһģһ 

й˵һԿйⲿṩԵһֲԡңһҲΪ򻯺͹һսԵһɲ֡ 

йкͰ͢ǩһһЭ飬Ű͢йƷҼƼ֧ۡݣʵǷ˻һЭóƶĹܣ൱ڸڷṩˡóʡҼƼۺͽ򽵵˹ȥԪƼ۽µһʲķա԰׶˹ΪйΪ޽˴ĵվ׶˹ϣܻҴԴ֧зԺΪΣڻԲƲͨһпԻΪЩṩ֧֡ 

Э顱һҪĹ׾ᳫԪ˫߻һζΣԪԲ㣬ǰйǩ˫ȨҵĻЭ飬ôԽõйжһԪйԽԪ̵ǣԪҡԪй˵ҷսϵ͡йͬǩ˫ȨҵĻЭ顱򺫹˽Ԫζйеһʲķա 

Σ 

ΣԾõӰҪڣһгԣŴɱǽгֹŷʮĸѣҲ;Ϊ޹óϵ־޴ѡʱǩһЭ飬Ҫ¼棺 

һṩ 

йǩĻһЭЩؽʽ޹˵ѩ̼ 

óдԪ㣬ԪԼȫó׵ķչйʽͳʾڽΣֵ֮֮ܵʱ3liborԪﵽ(ͼ2)һڣҵк֤ȯ˾ܹ3482Ԫǰһ60ҵִͨڵõĴ100Ԫܶﵽ495Ԫ9?11ֲϮ߼¼ 



Դ޹ҶԣԪһֱűҵǩһЭ()УйŴóҽĻܹճó׽׵Ԫ,ӻⱾԪ,Щ˵иԪŲ,Ԥл߳ծ.  

̼ó 

겻ĽΣʹȫóήóҲ亦һһӦΣӦƣһҲƶйó׻Ľҵȶó 

йƣȫó6%1980һεй2³ͬ»25.7%,ĸ´,ȹŻйѹ  

רұʾйѡʱһЩóܱܵ߹ǩһЭ飬ζſЩҹйƷԼ˫ó׵ĸա 

Ŀǰйֱձͺó׻,ͬʱҲӡó׻顢˹ǰó׻. 

жóϵ,߾Ƶ,˹2006жɶһ,ֱȡͻԽչ,Լܲҹʻ̬. 

йǩһЭң,(ǣ͢)йó״˳,йֵҪֵӡйó׻ƽ. 

ó׽Ҳ.ں,Ҽó׽,ʱڲı.бʾй̸аֵ֮1800ԪҵĺԲ-һһЭеһתΪԪйƽһһϵĴ 

ͻʷ 
 
Σʵľ޷ʹ˫ó׵ķձŴйܱ߹ҵ֮,ͳó׽ҶԪ,Ҳ,ʱ䶯йó׵Ӱɼһ.  

ԪΪǰծϢԪѸߵ͡ŷԪԪȹʻڽΣȫ汬֮󣬻ʲҲһӴ20084£ŷԪһ111ң1ŷԪֻܶһ9ԪңһֵԼ20% 

йҪóĶ˹Ĺٷ¬ȥ10·ҵıֵҲѱԼ60%ʲϼӴҲʹòҵóѸټӴó׻϶񻯡ʾڵǰг綯Ƶ£ҵпԵĻʧ߿ɵ4%5% 

һܹЧܻʷգٽó˵й뺫ǩһЭ󣬺пɸҪõע뱾ϵҵйƷʱͲʹԪΪ׵нңǿֱӴӱڻҽн㡣ҹҵյҼֵĻЧܻʷաͻҷá 

·Ȼ 

ĿǰһȻ⣺ 
 
ǹģԼĿǰǩĻһģʵ̫٣עֻܾԵ壬йĿǰÿ2Ԫ(Լ15)Ľó׶ȣȥԶ㷺Ӧûһκܳ· 

ʹȨԼйǩĴԼ6500ԪҵĻһʹȨ޽漰Э˫ܻݼó׷˫ĻһҲ漰ȻΪҵԪˣһȻЭ˫ó׻˫ͶʻҲ˶ѣͬʱһЭ˫ǷܰЩóȥҲںܴıϾҵڻһֻṩһ˫ó׷ԪĿܣǿ˫ʹûҽнס 

ǻͨ⡣ó׿羳ѭƣĿǰҽδ죬ӦÿҵľйͶԼйҹծȯȣͶʺͼֵعܣܳΪĻҡ 

йͬҵĻһͬǣĴлҪԪŷԪӢԪȣǶϽĻڹʽںóгЧӦϴ󡣵ı䲻˸еʵ  

ӹɣһڹóеĻΧٽҹʻ̡Ȼòɸ߹һʡʵгдЧƽΪҹʻһ谭йۺʵ޷֧ʻرڵǰľ£ΪӦҹʻգкܶҪ  

ΣڼҲϣǰ 

 

